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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Piast Gliwice — Lech Poznan

Predictions Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan February 3, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
Home · last 5 W D D L L
Kick-off
Tue 03 Feb · 19:30
1:0
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W D W D Away · last 5
Referee Jaroslaw Przybyl, Poland
Home Win · PIA
28%
Best 2.99
Draw
26%
Best 3.18
Away Win · LEC
45%
Best 2.32
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 11.00
Fair odds
9.61
book 11.00 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 10% · EV +14.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (90%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 28.3%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.49
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.4%
Odds 3.59
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.4%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.2%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45.2%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 28.3%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
PIA – LEC @ 11.00
+14.5%
Edge
Forecast →