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Home Spain La Liga Deportivo La Coruna — Elche

Match Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche August 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Mon 17 Aug · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
D Away · last 5
Referee F. Maeso
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.62
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.30
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 40% · book 2.38
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.34 – 1.41
Δ −1.07
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.81 — +6.6% better than the market.

With limited recent form and performance data, this La Liga opener between Deportivo La Coruna and Elche hints at a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a modest tempo with a slight lean towards fewer goals, indicating both sides may prioritize defensive solidity early in the season. Home advantage could offer Deportivo a subtle edge, but expect a compact battle with limited clear-cut chances.

  • Home side likely to rely on structured defense
  • Elche may look to counterattack cautiously
  • Game tempo expected to be moderate, favoring under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.81 ✗ Lost
AI 28% Implied 26% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

COR 4-4-2 · ELC 5-4-1
Subs used · COR
60' Villares ↑ · Asp
60' Eddahchouri ↑ · Nsongo
71' Luismi ↑ · Altimira
71' Mella ↑ · Soriano
85' Sanchez ↑ · Aubameyang
Subs used · ELC
60' Cepeda ↑ · Neto
60' Morente ↑ · Redondo Solari
69' Konare ↑ · Nino
81' Padilla ↑ · Valera
81' Morcillo ↑ · Houary

📊 Statistics

COR 11 ELC
39%
Possession (%)
61%
0.34
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.41
8
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
2
6
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
0
17
Fouls
12
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
P. Aubameyang
Assist · L. Amatucci · 1–0
21'
X. Navarro
Yellow Card
27'
L. Amatucci
Yellow Card
45+1'
Half-time · 1 – 0
D. Villares ↓ · J. Asp ↑
Substitution 1
60'
Z. Eddahchouri ↓ · B. Nsongo ↑
Substitution 2
60'
60'
L. Cepeda ↓ · M. Neto ↑
Substitution 1
60'
Tete Morente ↓ · F. Redondo Solari ↑
Substitution 2
67'
G. Villar
Yellow Card
69'
U. Konare ↓ · F. Nino ↑
Substitution 3
Cruz Luismi ↓ · A. Altimira ↑
Substitution 3
71'
D. Mella ↓ · M. Soriano ↑
Substitution 4
71'
76'
M. Aguado
Assist · G. Villar · 1–1
81'
A. Padilla ↓ · G. Valera ↑
Substitution 4
81'
J. Morcillo ↓ · A. Houary ↑
Substitution 5
K. Sanchez ↓ · P. Aubameyang ↑
Substitution 5
85'
88'
U. Konare
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Deportivo La Coruna and Elche drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.41 to 0.34. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Aubameyang (21'), M. Aguado (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.80 units (Brier 0.147).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.62 1.62 59% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.30 2.30 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.38 2.17 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.82 1.81 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.94 1.94 48% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.72 2.88 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.56 2.58 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.54 1.54 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.81 3.70 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.56 1.64 60% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 1.39 66% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Draw 3.05 3.00 29% Cashed +2.05 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.20 1.21 78% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.27 4.05 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 1.32 69% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 1.05 88% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.50 6.99 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.80u −22% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
COR – ELC @ 3.81
+6.6%
Edge
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