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Home Spain La Liga Espanyol — Levante

Match Espanyol vs Levante August 16, 2026 — Result and Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Espanyol
Espanyol
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sun 16 Aug · 17:00
3:0
Full-time
Levante
Levante
L Away · last 5
Referee C. Muniz
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 1.78
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.67
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.20
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.55 – 0.28
Δ +1.27
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.80 — +6.2% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this La Liga opener between Espanyol and Levante hints at a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a modest pace with a slight lean towards under 2.5 goals, indicating a compact defensive setup from both sides. Espanyol’s home advantage could provide a pressing edge, but Levante’s resilience may keep the match tight.

  • Home momentum may be tempered by early season rust.
  • Both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity.
  • Expect a tactical battle with few clear chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.80 ✗ Lost
AI 28% Implied 26% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ESP 4-4-2 · LEV 4-3-3
Subs used · ESP
72' Lozano ↑ · Gonzalez
72' Bauza ↑ · Calatrava
81' Jofre ↑ · Dolan
82' Milla ↑ · Hernandez
86' Fernandez Sanchez ↑ · Exposito
Subs used · LEV
46' Bardeli ↑ · Alvarez
46' Etta Eyong ↑ · Cortes
64' Santos ↑ · Romero
76' Toljan ↑ · Perez
76' Tunde ↑ · Garcia

📊 Statistics

ESP 30 LEV
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.55
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.28
16
Total Shots
4
6
Shots on Target
0
6
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
2
0
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
7
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

16 · 3 – 0
R. Fernandez Jaen
1–0
5'
U. Gonzalez
Yellow Card
37'
R. Fernandez Jaen
Assist · J. Hernandez · 2–0
40'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
E. Bardeli ↓ · C. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 1
46'
K. Etta Eyong ↓ · P. Cortes ↑
Substitution 2
A. Calatrava
Yellow Card
63'
64'
M. Santos ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 3
J. Hernandez
Yellow Card
68'
P. Lozano ↓ · U. Gonzalez ↑
Substitution 1
72'
R. Bauza ↓ · A. Calatrava ↑
Substitution 2
72'
76'
J. Toljan ↓ · N. Perez ↑
Substitution 4
76'
K. Tunde ↓ · V. Garcia ↑
Substitution 5
T. Dolan
Assist · R. Bauza · 3–0
80'
Jofre ↓ · T. Dolan ↑
Substitution 3
81'
P. Milla ↓ · J. Hernandez ↑
Substitution 4
82'
M. Fernandez Sanchez ↓ · Exposito ↑
Substitution 5
86'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Espanyol beat Levante 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.55 to 0.28. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 4, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Fernandez Jaen (5'), R. Fernandez Jaen (40'), T. Dolan (80').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.56 units (Brier 0.156).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.78 1.72 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.67 1.67 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.20 2.20 43% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 1.88 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.92 1.90 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.03 2.11 45% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.71 2.67 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.92 3.10 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.80 3.75 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.50 1.51 45% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.21 1.22 77% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 1.36 68% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.16 4.00 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.06 88% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 8.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.27 1.27 72% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Draw 3.35 3.23 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.56u −27% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
ESP – LEV @ 3.80
+6.2%
Edge
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