Match Newcastle vs Tottenham December 2, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.17 — +13.1% better than the market.

Newcastle shows strong home momentum with a solid recent run contrasting Tottenham's patchy form. Despite Tottenham's overall quality edge, Newcastle's defensive resilience at St. James' Park and their sharper recent points per game suggest a compact, disciplined approach. Expect a tactical battle where Newcastle's pressing and home comfort could limit Tottenham's attacking threat.

Newcastle's home defensive solidity vs Tottenham's moderate offensive edge
Recent form favors Newcastle's confidence and consistency
Moderate pace expected, leaning towards a controlled, strategic game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.17 ✓ Cashed

AI 52% Implied 46% +1.17u

+117%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NEW 4-3-3 · TOT 4-2-3-1

NEW · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · TOT

11 Barnes

Subs used · NEW

46'

Guimaraes ↑ ·

Tonali ↓

66'

Gordon ↑ ·

Barnes ↓

66'

Elanga ↑ ·

Murphy ↓

90+3'

Schar ↑ ·

Miley ↓

Subs used · TOT

77'

Simons ↑ ·

Bergvall ↓

77'

Richarlison ↑ ·

Kolo Muani ↓

77'

Tel ↑ ·

Johnson ↓

87'

Gray ↑ ·

M. Sarr ↓

87'

Odobert ↑ ·

Kudus ↓

📊 Statistics

NEW 2 – 2 TOT

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.96

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.79

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 2

23'

▮

Cristian Romero

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

Bruno Guimaraes ↓ · S. Tonali ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

56'

▮

Rodrigo Bentancur

Yellow Card

A. Gordon ↓ · H. Barnes ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

A. Elanga ↓ · J. Murphy ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

66'

Bruno Guimaraes

Assist · N. Woltemade · 1–0

⚽

71'

77'

⇄

X. Simons ↓ · L. Bergvall ↑

Substitution 1

77'

⇄

Richarlison ↓ · R. Kolo Muani ↑

Substitution 2

77'

⇄

M. Tel ↓ · B. Johnson ↑

Substitution 3

78'

⚽

C. Romero

Assist · M. Kudus · 1–1

86'

▮

Richarlison

Yellow Card

A. Gordon (P)

Penalty · 2–1

⚽

86'

87'

⇄

A. Gray ↓ · P. M. Sarr ↑

Substitution 4

87'

⇄

W. Odobert ↓ · M. Kudus ↑

Substitution 5

90'

⚽

C. Romero

2–2

F. Schar ↓ · L. Miley ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+3'

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Newcastle and Tottenham drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.96 to 0.79. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 8, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 8. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Bruno Guimaraes (71'), C. Romero (78'), A. Gordon (86'), C. Romero (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.79 units (Brier 0.209).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.17	—	52%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.30	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	53%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.78	—	52%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Home Win	1.78	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.76	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.23	—	71%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.87	—	30%	Cashed	+1.87	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.80	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.50	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.10	—	23%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	76%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.79u	−5% ROI