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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Newcastle — Liverpool

Predictions Newcastle vs Liverpool August 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 15:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Referee S. Attwell
Home Win · NEW
30%
Best 3.76
Draw
25%
Best 4.04
Away Win · LIV
46%
Best 1.99
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.73
Fair odds
3.37
book 3.73 · +10.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 30% · EV +10.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (46%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 29.7%
Odds 3.73
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 83%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 17.1%
Odds 5.43
Show model details
Implied probability 18.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 29.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
NEW – LIV @ 3.73
+10.4%
Edge
Forecast →