P
Prognosist
P
Home England Premier League Brighton — Aston Villa

Predictions Brighton vs Aston Villa August 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 13:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
W D W W W Away · last 5
Referee P. Bankes
Home Win · BRI
42%
Best 2.28
Draw
25%
Best 3.70
Away Win · AST
33%
Best 3.27
No value pick
no edge vs market
Most likely outcome
BTTS Yes
p 61% · not a bet
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 32.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.5%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 39%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 14.60
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.5%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 39%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.1%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.