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Home England Premier League Arsenal — Coventry

Predictions Arsenal vs Coventry August 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 W W W W D
Kick-off
Fri 21 Aug · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Coventry
Coventry
· · · · · Away · last 5
Emirates Stadium · London Referee T. Bramall
Home Win · ARS
71%
Best 1.21
Draw
15%
Best 7.80
Away Win · COV
14%
Best 17.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.50
Fair odds
6.66
book 7.50 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 15% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (71%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 13.9%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 15%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.7%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.4%
Odds 4.55
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 13.9%
Odds 9.60
Show model details
Implied probability 10.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 29%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
ARS – COV @ 7.50
+12.7%
Edge
Forecast →