P
Prognosist
P
Home World World Cup France — Spain

Match France vs Spain July 14, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
France
France
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Tue 14 Jul · 19:00
0:2
Full-time
Spain
Spain
W W W W W Away · last 5
Referee Iván Barton, El Salvador
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.91
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 65% · book 1.69
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 44% · book 2.30
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.30 – 1.63
Δ −1.33
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.69 — +9.1% better than the market.

France vs Spain: World Cup Clash Preview

This World Cup qualifier promises an exciting encounter as France's solid home momentum meets Spain's clinical away form. France boasts a sturdy defense with a 50% clean sheet rate and a potent attack averaging over 2.5 goals per game. Spain counters with an even tighter defense and a higher scoring rate, suggesting a tactical battle with plenty of goalmouth action. Expect a lively tempo with both sides pushing forward, making over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring likely outcomes.

  • France's balanced attack and defense create a compact block hard to break down.
  • Spain's pressing edge and clinical finishing pose a constant threat.
  • Recent form favors an open game with high scoring potential.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.69 ✗ Lost
AI 65% Implied 59% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FRA 4-2-3-1 · SPA 4-2-3-1
Subs used · FRA
30' Lacroix ↑ · Saliba
46' Kone ↑ · Rabiot
57' Doue ↑ · Barcola
72' Cherki ↑ · Olise
72' Hernandez ↑ · Digne
Subs used · SPA
74' Torres ↑ · Oyarzabal
78' Merino ↑ · Olmo
78' Pedri ↑ · Ruiz
84' Llorente ↑ · Porro
84' Williams ↑ · Baena

📊 Statistics

FRA 02 SPA
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.30
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.63
10
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
5
4
Shots Inside Box
5
7
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
5
11
Fouls
12
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

15 · 0 – 2
A. Rabiot
Yellow Card
9'
22'
M. Oyarzabal (P)
Penalty · 0–1
M. Lacroix ↓ · W. Saliba ↑
Substitution 1
30'
31'
M. Cucurella
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
M. Kone ↓ · A. Rabiot ↑
Substitution 2
46'
D. Doue ↓ · B. Barcola ↑
Substitution 3
57'
58'
P. Porro
Assist · D. Olmo · 0–2
R. Cherki ↓ · M. Olise ↑
Substitution 4
72'
T. Hernandez ↓ · L. Digne ↑
Substitution 5
72'
74'
F. Torres ↓ · M. Oyarzabal ↑
Substitution 1
78'
M. Merino ↓ · D. Olmo ↑
Substitution 2
78'
Pedri ↓ · F. Ruiz ↑
Substitution 3
84'
M. Llorente ↓ · P. Porro ↑
Substitution 4
84'
N. Williams ↓ · A. Baena ↑
Substitution 5
K. Mbappe
Yellow Card
86'
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Spain won 2–0 away at France. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.63 to 0.30. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Oyarzabal (22'), P. Porro (58').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.25 units (Brier 0.248).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.91 1.90 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.69 1.64 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.30 2.53 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.12 2.22 35% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.91 1.91 38% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.64 1.70 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.29 2.16 28% Cashed +1.29 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 3.19 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.25 1.28 83% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 1.38 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.57 1.53 56% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.05 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Away Win 3.28 3.10 28% Cashed +2.28 Cashed
Draw 3.23 3.07 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 1.36 58% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.70 3.70 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 10.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.25u −13% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
FRA – SPA @ 1.69
+9.1%
Edge
Forecast →