Match Norway vs England July 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.73 — +12.5% better than the market.

Norway and England both arrive unbeaten with perfect recent form, setting the stage for a high-stakes clash. Norway's potent attack, averaging over 4.5 goals per game in qualifiers, contrasts with England's rock-solid defense that has kept clean sheets in all matches. Expect a tactical battle where Norway's pressing edge and goal threat meet England's compact block and disciplined shape.

Norway's home momentum and prolific scoring
England's defensive resilience and counter-attack potential
Likely open game with chances for both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.73 ✗ Lost

AI 65% Implied 58% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NOR 4-3-3 · ENG 4-2-3-1

NOR · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · ENG

21 Schjelderup ⚽

Subs used · NOR

60'

Aursnes ↑ ·

Ryerson ↓

68'

Bobb ↑ ·

Sorloth ↓

68'

Nusa ↑ ·

Schjelderup ↓

90'

Pedersen ↑ ·

Wolfe ↓

91'

Ostigard ↑ ·

Heggem ↓

106'

Larsen ↑ ·

Haaland ↓

Subs used · ENG

46'

Saka ↑ ·

Madueke ↓

46'

Eze ↑ ·

Rice ↓

71'

James ↑ ·

Gordon ↓

86'

Spence ↑ ·

O'Reilly ↓

89'

Rogers ↑ ·

Konsa ↓

111'

Burn ↑ ·

Bellingham ↓

📊 Statistics

NOR 1 – 2 ENG

48%

Possession (%)

52%

0.77

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.09

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

91%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 2

A. Schjelderup

Assist · M. Odegaard · 1–0

⚽

36'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

B. Saka ↓ · N. Madueke ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

E. Eze ↓ · D. Rice ↑

Substitution 2

45+2'

⚽

J. Bellingham

Assist · A. Gordon · 1–1

F. Aursnes ↓ · J. Ryerson ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

O. Bobb ↓ · A. Sorloth ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

A. Nusa ↓ · A. Schjelderup ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

68'

71'

⇄

R. James ↓ · A. Gordon ↑

Substitution 3

86'

⇄

D. Spence ↓ · N. O'Reilly ↑

Substitution 4

89'

⇄

M. Rogers ↓ · E. Konsa ↑

Substitution 5

M. Pedersen ↓ · D. Wolfe ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

L. Ostigard ↓ · T. Heggem ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

91'

93'

⚽

J. Bellingham

1–2

J. Larsen ↓ · E. Haaland ↑

Substitution 6

⇄

106'

111'

⇄

D. Burn ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑

Substitution 6

K. Ajer

Yellow Card

▮

117'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

England won 2–1 away at Norway. At half-time it was 1–1.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: A. Schjelderup (36'), J. Bellingham (45+2'), J. Bellingham (93').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -1.83 units (Brier 0.200).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.73	1.67	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	2.63	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	1.62	64%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.91	1.84	54%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Away Win	1.85	1.93	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	2.23	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	2.20	35%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Home Win	4.10	3.85	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.24	1.25	71%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.05	2.82	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.41	1.44	55%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.19	1.18	85%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Draw	3.65	3.65	25%	Cashed	+2.65	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	4.33	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.39	1.43	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−1.83u	−12% ROI