Match France vs Morocco July 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.95 — +12.4% better than the market.

France vs Morocco: World Cup Clash Preview

France arrives with solid home momentum, boasting a strong attack and a reliable defense that keeps clean sheets half the time. Morocco’s perfect recent form and stout defense, with a high clean sheet rate, suggest a compact and disciplined approach. Expect a tactical battle where France’s offensive pressure meets Morocco’s resilient backline. The match hints at a lively tempo with both sides capable of goals, supported by high over 2.5 goals odds.

France’s attacking edge and home confidence
Morocco’s defensive solidity and unbeaten streak
Potential for open play and goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.95 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FRA 4-2-3-1 · MAR 4-2-3-1

FRA · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MAR

10 Mbappé ⚽

Subs used · FRA

71'

Zaire-Emery ↑ ·

Kone ↓

77'

Mateta ↑ ·

Mbappe ↓

77'

Barcola ↑ ·

Doue ↓

87'

Gusto ↑ ·

Kounde ↓

Subs used · MAR

62'

Amrabat ↑ ·

Bouaddi ↓

62'

Rahimi ↑ ·

El Khannouss ↓

74'

Yassine ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

74'

El Ouahdi ↑ ·

Salah-Eddine ↓

85'

Sbai ↑ ·

Talbi ↓

📊 Statistics

FRA 2 – 0 MAR

48%

Possession (%)

52%

3.04

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.14

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 2 – 0

K. Mbappe (P)

Penalty · Assist · K. Mbappe · 1–0

⚽

28'

Half-time · 1 – 0

K. Mbappe

Assist · D. Doue · 2–0

⚽

60'

62'

⇄

S. Amrabat ↓ · A. Bouaddi ↑

Substitution 1

62'

⇄

S. Rahimi ↓ · B. El Khannouss ↑

Substitution 2

63'

▮

I. Diop

Yellow Card

O. Dembele

Assist · K. Mbappe · 3–0

⚽

66'

W. Zaire-Emery ↓ · M. Kone ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

74'

⇄

G. Yassine ↓ · B. Diaz ↑

Substitution 3

74'

⇄

Z. El Ouahdi ↓ · A. Salah-Eddine ↑

Substitution 4

J. Mateta ↓ · K. Mbappe ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

B. Barcola ↓ · D. Doue ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

85'

⇄

A. Sbai ↓ · C. Talbi ↑

Substitution 5

M. Gusto ↓ · J. Kounde ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

France beat Morocco 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.04 to 0.14. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 5, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: K. Mbappe (60'), O. Dembele (66').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.90 units (Brier 0.142).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.00	1.95	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	1.97	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.30	2.30	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.80	1.82	42%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.83	1.85	41%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	3.50	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.50	6.25	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.12	1.12	82%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Home Win	1.57	1.60	58%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	1.30	81%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	1.05	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.85	3.77	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.55	4.48	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	1.30	61%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.17	1.18	58%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	3.42	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	10.00	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.90u	−35% ROI