Match Sunderland vs Bournemouth November 29, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.42 — +7.9% better than the market.

Bournemouth arrive with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Sunderland's home momentum. Sunderland's defensive solidity faces a stern test against Bournemouth's sharper attack, hinting at a tactical battle where the visitors' pressing and pace could unlock chances.

Sunderland's home edge is moderate but challenged by Bournemouth's offensive threat.
Recent form favors Bournemouth, who have shown resilience and goal threat.
The match tempo may lean towards a balanced but slightly open game, with chances at both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.42 ✗ Lost

AI 76% Implied 70% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · BOU 4-2-3-1

SUN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BOU

18 Isidor

Subs used · SUN

63'

Brobbey ↑ ·

Isidor ↓

63'

Mundle ↑ ·

Talbi ↓

63'

Hume ↑ ·

Traore ↓

86'

Geertruida ↑ ·

Le Fee ↓

Subs used · BOU

46'

Cook ↑ ·

Scott ↓

71'

Brooks ↑ ·

Adli ↓

71'

Kluivert ↑ ·

Adams ↓

80'

J. Kroupi ↑ ·

Evanilson ↓

80'

Unal ↑ ·

Smith ↓

📊 Statistics

SUN 3 – 2 BOU

44%

Possession (%)

56%

1.24

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.86

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

25 · 3 – 2

⚽

A. Adli

0–1

15'

⚽

T. Adams

0–2

Omar Alderete

Yellow Card

▮

21'

25'

▮

Alex Scott

Yellow Card

E. Le Fee (P)

Penalty · 1–2

⚽

30'

Half-time · 1 – 2

46'

⇄

L. Cook ↓ · A. Scott ↑

Substitution 1

B. Traore

Assist · G. Xhaka · 2–2

⚽

46'

B. Brobbey ↓ · W. Isidor ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

R. Mundle ↓ · C. Talbi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

T. Hume ↓ · B. Traore ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

63'

Trai Hume

Yellow Card

▮

65'

B. Brobbey

Assist · E. Le Fee · 3–2

⚽

69'

71'

⇄

D. Brooks ↓ · A. Adli ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

J. Kluivert ↓ · T. Adams ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

E. J. Kroupi ↓ · Evanilson ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

E. Unal ↓ · A. Smith ↑

Substitution 5

86'

▮

Antoine Semenyo

Yellow Card

L. Geertruida ↓ · E. Le Fee ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

Robin Roefs

Yellow Card

▮

90'

90+1'

▮

Marcos Senesi

Yellow Card

Nordi Mukiele

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

▮

David Brooks

Yellow Card

90+6'

▮

Lewis Cook

Red Card

Romaine Mundle

Yellow Card

▮

90+8'

90+12'

▮

Marcus Tavernier

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Sunderland beat Bournemouth 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.86 to 1.24. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 11, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.24 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Adli (7'), T. Adams (15'), E. Le Fee (30'), B. Traore (46'), B. Brobbey (69'). Lewis Cook was sent off in the 90+6' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.10 units (Brier 0.288).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.47	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.13	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.91	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.04	—	46%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.77	—	51%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.77	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.63	—	51%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.26	—	24%	Cashed	+1.26	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.42	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.14	—	24%	Cashed	+2.14	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.80	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.34	—	72%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Draw	3.44	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.65	—	25%	Cashed	+2.65	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.10u	−1% ROI