Match Karpaty vs Kolos Kovalivka March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.57 — +5.3% better than the market.

Karpaty face a tough test against Kolos Kovalivka at Ukraina Stadium. Despite Karpaty's slight home edge in defense, their recent form shows struggles with multiple losses, while Kolos has steadier momentum and a more balanced attack-defense profile. The matchup suggests a cautious pace with limited goal-scoring chances, as both sides have similar expected goals pre-match.

Karpaty’s defensive solidity may keep the game tight.
Kolos’s better recent form could press for control.
Low-scoring environment likely given cautious tactics.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.57 ✓ Cashed

AI 67% Implied 64% +0.57u

+57%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KAR 4-3-3 · KOL 4-4-2

KAR · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · KOL

26 Kostenko

📊 Statistics

KAR 0 – 1 KOL

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.32

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kolos Kovalivka won 1–0 away at Karpaty. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.32 to 1.70. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.36 units (Brier 0.188).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 1.5	2.56	—	41%	Cashed	+1.56	Cashed
BTTS No	1.74	—	60%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Home Win	2.70	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.13	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.55	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.85	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.05	—	33%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.57	—	67%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.42	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.51	—	61%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Away Win	2.94	—	33%	Cashed	+1.94	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.50	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.08	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	6.70	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.17	—	85%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	85%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.36u	−14% ROI