Match Croatia vs Ghana June 27, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.70 — +9.9% better than the market.

Croatia enters this World Cup clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and high goal-scoring rate in qualifiers. Their pressing edge and set-piece threat could challenge Ghana’s compact block. Ghana shows resilience and attacking intent but may struggle to break down Croatia’s disciplined defense. Expect a tactical battle with a moderate pace, leaning towards a tight, low-scoring affair.

Croatia’s defensive solidity and clean sheet frequency
Ghana’s consistent form but lower goal output
Likely cautious tempo with few clear chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.70 ✗ Lost

AI 65% Implied 59% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CRO 4-2-3-1 · GHA 4-3-3

CRO · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · GHA

11 Budimir

Subs used · CRO

66'

Matanovic ↑ ·

Budimir ↓

78'

Pasalic ↑ ·

Kovacic ↓

88'

Pasalic ↑ ·

Baturina ↓

88'

Gvardiol ↑ ·

Vlasic ↓

Subs used · GHA

46'

Peprah ↑ ·

Adjetey ↓

46'

Fatawu ↑ ·

Owusu ↓

71'

Thomas-Asante ↑ ·

Ayew ↓

71'

Nuamah ↑ ·

Sulemana ↓

85'

Yirenkyi ↑ ·

Sibo ↓

📊 Statistics

CRO 2 – 1 GHA

53%

Possession (%)

47%

0.46

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.73

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 1

P. Sucic

Assist · M. Kovacic · 1–0

⚽

31'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

K. Peprah ↓ · J. Adjetey ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

I. Fatawu ↓ · E. Owusu ↑

Substitution 2

I. Matanovic ↓ · A. Budimir ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

I. Perisic

Yellow Card

▮

68'

71'

⇄

B. Thomas-Asante ↓ · J. Ayew ↑

Substitution 3

71'

⇄

E. Nuamah ↓ · K. Sulemana ↑

Substitution 4

73'

⚽

D. Luckassen

Assist · E. Nuamah · 1–1

M. Pasalic ↓ · M. Kovacic ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

N. Vlasic

Assist · L. Modric · 2–1

⚽

83'

85'

⇄

C. Yirenkyi ↓ · K. Sibo ↑

Substitution 5

M. Pasalic ↓ · M. Baturina ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

88'

J. Gvardiol ↓ · N. Vlasic ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

90+4'

▮

K. Peprah

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Croatia beat Ghana 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.46 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: P. Sucic (31'), D. Luckassen (73'), N. Vlasic (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.92 units (Brier 0.193).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.53	1.53	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.70	1.69	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.05	1.93	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.73	1.81	50%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.20	2.43	33%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.06	2.12	35%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	2.75	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	6.58	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.50	5.49	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.21	1.18	87%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.15	1.17	77%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Draw	3.35	3.19	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.81	3.65	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	1.07	79%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.36	1.43	59%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.33	1.26	47%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	4.50	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.92u	−29% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample

@Donald Mrcvichka

ROI +5.1%

1 month ago

World Cup Sa 27 Jun · 21:00

Croatia

2 : 1 final

Ghana

Total - Home Under 1.5 @ 2.00

Stake 98 coins

→

Payout 0 lost

P/L -98 -100% vs stake

✕ Lost