Match Colombia vs Congo DR June 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.60 — +14.3% better than the market.

Colombia shows solid home momentum with a balanced attack and defense, averaging over 1.5 goals per game in qualifiers. Their pressing edge and decent shot accuracy could challenge Congo DR, who boast a strong defensive record and high clean sheet rate. Congo’s compact block and efficient counterattacks make them tough to break down, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

Colombia’s home attacking rhythm vs Congo’s disciplined defense
Recent form favors Congo’s confidence and resilience
Moderate pace expected, leaning towards a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.60 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 38% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

COL 4-2-3-1 · CGO 5-3-2

COL · 4-2-3-1 5-3-2 · CGO

25 Suárez

Subs used · COL

58'

Cordoba ↑ ·

Suarez ↓

58'

Quintero ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

77'

Rios ↑ ·

Arias ↓

Subs used · CGO

46'

Sadiki ↑ ·

Mukau ↓

57'

Banza ↑ ·

Bakambu ↓

72'

Kayembe ↑ ·

Masuaku ↓

72'

Pickel ↑ ·

Kayembe ↓

82'

Mbuku ↑ ·

Moutoussamy ↓

📊 Statistics

COL 1 – 0 CGO

64%

Possession (%)

36%

1.03

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.39

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 1 – 0

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

N. Sadiki ↓ · N. Mukau ↑

Substitution 1

J. Lucumi

Yellow Card

▮

56'

57'

⇄

S. Banza ↓ · C. Bakambu ↑

Substitution 2

J. Cordoba ↓ · L. Suarez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

58'

J. Quintero ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

72'

⇄

J. Kayembe ↓ · A. Masuaku ↑

Substitution 3

72'

⇄

C. Pickel ↓ · E. Kayembe ↑

Substitution 4

D. Munoz

Assist · J. Quintero · 1–0

⚽

76'

R. Rios ↓ · J. Arias ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

82'

⇄

N. Mbuku ↓ · S. Moutoussamy ↑

Substitution 5

90+3'

▮

C. Pickel

Yellow Card

J. Lerma

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Colombia beat Congo DR 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.03 to 0.39. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 8, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Munoz (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.76 units (Brier 0.139).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.60	2.45	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.67	1.67	61%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.32	2.23	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.20	2.20	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.00	6.76	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.23	5.13	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.00	3.00	34%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
BTTS No	1.57	1.61	60%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.09	1.10	79%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Home Win	1.50	1.54	56%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	8.47	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	1.22	80%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	4.20	3.91	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	1.07	89%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.35	1.40	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.00	4.00	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.15	1.15	56%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.76u	−28% ROI