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Home World World Cup France — Iraq

Predictions France vs Iraq June 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
France
France
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Mon 22 Jun · 21:00
3:0
Full-time
Iraq
Iraq
L L L Away · last 5
Referee Drew Fischer, Canada
Home Win · FRA
79%
Best 1.13
Draw
13%
Best 13.00
Away Win · IRQ
8%
Best 36.00
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.38
book 6.00 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 19% · EV +11.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (81%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 8%
Odds 34.00
Show model details
Implied probability 2.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 12.7%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 38.1%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 18.6%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 62%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 8%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 20.7%
Odds 7.75
Show model details
Implied probability 12.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
FRA – IRQ @ 6.00
+11.5%
Edge
Forecast →