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Home World World Cup Mexico — South Korea

Predictions Mexico vs South Korea June 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Mexico
Mexico
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Fri 19 Jun · 01:00
1:0
Full-time
South Korea
South Korea
W L L Away · last 5
Estadio Akron · Zapopan Referee Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay
Home Win · MEX
49%
Best 2.12
Draw
27%
Best 3.32
Away Win · KOR
24%
Best 4.10
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
4.00
book 4.33 · +8.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +8.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (75%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 23.8%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.4%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.9%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 58%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 23.8%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 50.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MEX – KOR @ 4.33
+8.2%
Edge
Forecast →