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Home › World › World Cup › Argentina — Algeria

Match Argentina vs Algeria June 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Argentina
Argentina
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Wed 17 Jun · 01:00
3:0
Full-time
Algeria
Algeria
L W D L Away · last 5
Referee Szymon Marciniak, Poland
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.86 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 49% · book 1.91 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.61 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.23 – 0.31
Δ +0.92
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.90 — +14.9% better than the market.

Argentina enters this World Cup opener with solid home momentum, boasting a strong defensive record and a compact block that has kept clean sheets in over 60% of qualifiers. Algeria counters with a high-scoring attack and a pressing edge, averaging over two goals per match but conceding more often. The tactical battle will hinge on Argentina's disciplined defense against Algeria's dynamic offense.

  • Argentina's defensive resilience
  • Algeria's attacking threat
  • Neutral venue balancing home advantage

Expect a measured tempo with moderate goal potential, as both sides show form strength but contrasting styles that could limit scoring chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.90 ✗ Lost
AI 40% Implied 34% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ARG 4-3-3 · ALG 4-4-2
ARG · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · ALG 23 Martínez 4 Montiel 13 Romero 6 Martínez 25 Medina 20 Allister 24 Fernández 7 Paul 10 Messi ⚽ 22 Martínez 16 Almada 23 Zidane 17 Belghali 2 Mandi 21 Bensebaini 15 Aït-Nouri 11 Moussa 14 Boudaoui 19 Bentaleb 10 Chaïbi 22 Maza 9 Gouiri
Subs used · ARG
46' Molina ↑ · Montiel ↓
55' Alvarez ↑ · Martinez ↓
55' Gonzalez ↑ · Almada ↓
80' Paz ↑ · Messi ↓
80' Otamendi ↑ · Romero ↓
Subs used · ALG
64' Aouar ↑ · Boudaoui ↓
64' Amoura ↑ · Gouiri ↓
64' Mahrez ↑ · Hadj Moussa ↓
81' Boulbina ↑ · Bentaleb ↓
82' Zerrouki ↑ · Maza ↓

📊 Statistics

ARG 3 – 0 ALG
48%
Possession (%)
52%
1.23
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.31
10
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
0
4
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
3
2
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
8
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
92%
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

13 · 3 – 0
L. Messi
Assist · R. de Paul · 1–0
⚽
17'
Half-time · 1 – 0
N. Molina ↓ · G. Montiel ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
J. Alvarez ↓ · L. Martinez ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
55'
N. Gonzalez ↓ · T. Almada ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
55'
L. Messi
2–0
⚽
60'
64'
⇄
H. Aouar ↓ · H. Boudaoui ↑
Substitution 1
64'
⇄
M. Amoura ↓ · A. Gouiri ↑
Substitution 2
64'
⇄
R. Mahrez ↓ · A. Hadj Moussa ↑
Substitution 3
L. Messi
Assist · N. Gonzalez · 3–0
⚽
76'
N. Paz ↓ · L. Messi ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
80'
N. Otamendi ↓ · C. Romero ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
81'
⇄
A. Boulbina ↓ · N. Bentaleb ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
R. Zerrouki ↓ · I. Maza ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Argentina beat Algeria 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.23 to 0.31. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.23 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: L. Messi (17'), L. Messi (60'), L. Messi (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.28 units (Brier 0.107).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.86 1.90 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.91 1.91 49% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS No 1.61 1.67 58% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.22 2.15 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.90 2.84 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 8.25 8.20 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.40 1.41 60% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Away 0 6.25 5.88 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.51 4.50 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.04 91% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 10.99 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 1.30 72% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.34 3.40 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 1.29 72% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.39 3.44 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.06 1.07 82% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.10 1.12 60% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.28u −37% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
ARG – ALG @ 2.90
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →