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Home World World Cup France — Senegal

Predictions France vs Senegal June 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
France
France
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Tue 16 Jun · 19:00
3:1
Full-time
Senegal
Senegal
L L W L Away · last 5
Referee Alireza Faghani, Australia
Home Win · FRA
58%
Best 1.50
Draw
22%
Best 4.64
Away Win · SEN
20%
Best 7.37
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.63
Fair odds
2.40
book 2.63 · +9.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 42% · EV +9.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (80%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 19.6%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 22.2%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.6%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.4%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.39
Show model details
Implied probability 29.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 19.6%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 88.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
FRA – SEN @ 2.63
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →