P
Prognosist
P
Home World World Cup Sweden — Tunisia

Predictions Sweden vs Tunisia June 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Sweden
Sweden
Home · last 5 W L D L
Kick-off
Mon 15 Jun · 02:00
5:1
Full-time
Tunisia
Tunisia
L L L Away · last 5
Estadio BBVA · Monterrey Referee Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina
Home Win · SWE
48%
Best 1.94
Draw
26%
Best 3.48
Away Win · TUN
26%
Best 4.60
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.89
book 4.33 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 26% · EV +11.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (48%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 48.3%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 25.7%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.5%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 56%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.14
Show model details
Implied probability 31.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 48.3%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
SWE – TUN @ 4.33
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →