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Home World World Cup Australia — Türkiye

Match Australia vs Türkiye June 14, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Australia
Australia
Home · last 5 W L D D
Kick-off
Sun 14 Jun · 04:00
2:0
Full-time
Türkiye
Türkiye
L L W Away · last 5
BC Place · Vancouver Referee Jesús Valenzuela, Venezuela
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 50% · book 2.10
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.80
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.00
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
0.77 – 1.33
Δ −0.56
Possession
28% – 72%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.10 — +4.2% better than the market.

Australia arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and a high clean sheet rate in qualifiers. Their compact block and efficient counterattacks could challenge Türkiye’s pressing style. Türkiye shows attacking ambition but concedes more, suggesting a tactical battle where Australia's disciplined defense meets Türkiye’s forward thrust.

  • Australia’s defensive resilience and set-piece threat
  • Türkiye’s higher pace and offensive pressure
  • Balanced recent form with slight edge to Australia’s consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.10 ✓ Cashed
AI 50% Implied 48% +1.10u
+110%
ROI on stake

Lineups

AUS 3-4-2-1 · TUR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · AUS
61' Velupillay ↑ · Irankunda
74' Yengi ↑ · Toure
74' Geria ↑ · Italiano
84' Behich ↑ · Bos
84' Irvine ↑ · Okon-Engstler
Subs used · TUR
46' Yildiz ↑ · Yilmaz
62' Akgun ↑ · Kokcu
81' Ozcan ↑ · Yuksek
81' Muldur ↑ · Celik
85' Gul ↑ · Akturkoglu

📊 Statistics

AUS 20 TUR
28%
Possession (%)
72%
0.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.33
9
Total Shots
30
4
Shots on Target
8
4
Shots off Target
10
6
Shots Inside Box
14
5
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
4
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
0
Yellow Cards
1
8
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

13 · 2 – 0
N. Irankunda
Assist · P. Okon-Engstler · 1–0
27'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
K. Yildiz ↓ · B. Yilmaz ↑
Substitution 1
N. Velupillay ↓ · N. Irankunda ↑
Substitution 1
61'
62'
Y. Akgun ↓ · O. Kokcu ↑
Substitution 2
T. Yengi ↓ · M. Toure ↑
Substitution 2
74'
J. Geria ↓ · J. Italiano ↑
Substitution 3
74'
C. Metcalfe
2–0
75'
81'
S. Ozcan ↓ · I. Yuksek ↑
Substitution 3
81'
M. Muldur ↓ · Z. Celik ↑
Substitution 4
A. Behich ↓ · J. Bos ↑
Substitution 4
84'
J. Irvine ↓ · P. Okon-Engstler ↑
Substitution 5
84'
85'
D. Gul ↓ · K. Akturkoglu ↑
Substitution 5
86'
Y. Akgun
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Australia beat Türkiye 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.33 to 0.77. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 30 shots to 9, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves.

On the scoresheet: N. Irankunda (27'), C. Metcalfe (75').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.01 units (Brier 0.221).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.10 2.15 50% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.80 1.80 53% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.00 2.00 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 1.80 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.94 1.95 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.69 1.67 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.00 5.13 25% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 91% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.27 1.27 73% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 3.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.85 10.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 1.31 72% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.30 3.40 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.72 3.88 25% Cashed +2.72 Cashed
Draw 3.68 3.80 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.16 1.16 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.25 1.24 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.01u +6% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
AUS – TUR @ 2.10
+4.2%
Edge
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