Match Brazil vs Morocco June 13, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.22 — +4.1% better than the market.

Brazil faces a tough challenge against Morocco, who arrive on a strong winning streak and boast a solid defensive record with multiple clean sheets. Brazil's home momentum is tempered by recent mixed results and a moderate goal-scoring rate, while Morocco's attacking edge and pressing intensity could unsettle the hosts. Expect a tactical battle with Morocco's compact block and quick transitions testing Brazil's creativity.

Morocco's defensive resilience contrasts Brazil's occasional defensive lapses.
Brazil's home form shows signs of inconsistency.
Match tempo likely balanced, favoring structured play over open end-to-end action.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.22 ✓ Cashed

AI 47% Implied 45% +1.22u

+122%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRA 4-2-3-1 · MAR 4-2-3-1

BRA · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MAR

25 Thiago

Subs used · BRA

46'

Danilo ↑ ·

Ibanez ↓

46'

Fabinho ↑ ·

Casemiro ↓

61'

Cunha ↑ ·

Paqueta ↓

62'

Henrique ↑ ·

Thiago ↓

80'

Santos ↑ ·

Guimaraes ↓

Subs used · MAR

65'

Talbi ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

65'

El Mourabet ↑ ·

Ounahi ↓

80'

Salah-Eddine ↑ ·

Mazraoui ↓

80'

Amaimouni ↑ ·

El Khannouss ↓

89'

Rahimi ↑ ·

Saibari ↓

📊 Statistics

BRA 1 – 1 MAR

54%

Possession (%)

46%

1.24

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.28

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 1

21'

⚽

I. Saibari

Assist · B. Diaz · 0–1

Vinicius Junior

Assist · Bruno Guimaraes · 1–1

⚽

32'

Casemiro

Yellow Card

▮

37'

Ibanez

Yellow Card

▮

43'

Half-time · 1 – 1

Danilo ↓ · Ibanez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Fabinho ↓ · Casemiro ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

M. Cunha ↓ · Lucas Paqueta ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

61'

Luiz Henrique ↓ · I. Thiago ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

62'

65'

⇄

C. Talbi ↓ · B. Diaz ↑

Substitution 1

65'

⇄

S. El Mourabet ↓ · A. Ounahi ↑

Substitution 2

80'

⇄

A. Salah-Eddine ↓ · N. Mazraoui ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

A. Amaimouni ↓ · B. El Khannouss ↑

Substitution 4

Danilo Santos ↓ · Bruno Guimaraes ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

89'

⇄

S. Rahimi ↓ · I. Saibari ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Brazil and Morocco drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 0.

On the scoresheet: I. Saibari (21'), Vinicius Junior (32').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.45 units (Brier 0.170).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.22	2.24	47%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.79	1.72	53%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.04	2.14	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.75	1.70	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.99	2.05	47%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
Home Win	1.66	1.66	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.50	5.49	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.32	1.36	71%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.26	3.19	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.27	1.25	74%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.60	4.00	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	1.06	90%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	8.47	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.78	3.80	25%	Cashed	+2.78	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.14	1.14	78%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.91	3.97	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.23	1.23	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.45u	−14% ROI