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Home Ukraine Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar Donetsk — Karpaty

Predictions Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty February 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Ukraine   /   Ukraine Premier League Value pick inside
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 13:30
3:0
Full-time
Karpaty
Karpaty
D L D W L Away · last 5
Arena Lviv · Lviv Referee O. Afanasyev
Home Win · SHA
79%
Best 1.22
Draw
16%
Best 5.40
Away Win · KAR
5%
Best 12.35
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.85
Fair odds
4.22
book 4.85 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 24% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (76%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 15.7%
Odds 6.64
Show model details
Implied probability 15.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 5.4%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 32.9%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 23.7%
Odds 4.85
Show model details
Implied probability 20.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.4%
Odds 9.30
Show model details
Implied probability 10.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 21.1%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SHA – KAR @ 4.85
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →