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Home World World Cup USA — Paraguay

Predictions USA vs Paraguay June 13, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
USA
USA
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 13 Jun · 01:00
4:1
Full-time
Paraguay
Paraguay
L W D D L Away · last 5
Referee Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
Home Win · USA
47%
Best 2.16
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · PAR
26%
Best 4.02
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.19
Fair odds
3.80
book 4.19 · +10.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 26% · EV +10.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (47%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 47%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 26.3%
Odds 4.19
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds 2.87
Show model details
Implied probability 34.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 78.2%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.32
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.6%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 47%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 47%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
USA – PAR @ 4.19
+10.4%
Edge
Forecast →