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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Standard Liege — Charleroi

Predictions Standard Liege vs Charleroi May 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 18:45
0:2
Full-time
Charleroi
Charleroi
W W L D W Away · last 5
Referee J. Boterberg
Home Win · STA
41%
Best 2.19
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · CHA
33%
Best 3.38
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.29
book 3.50 · +6.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +6.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (70%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 33%
Odds 3.58
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 9.5%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 33%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 41.3%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
STA – CHA @ 3.50
+6.3%
Edge
Forecast →