Match Falkirk vs Rangers May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.50 — +10.2% better than the market.

Falkirk vs Rangers Preview

Rangers hold a clear quality edge and offensive advantage, but Falkirk's home momentum and slightly better recent form suggest a competitive clash. The home side's defensive solidity could challenge Rangers' attack, while the visitors' pressing edge may test Falkirk's resilience. Expect a moderately paced game with a tactical battle in midfield and a likelihood of under 2.5 goals given both teams' cautious recent displays.

Rangers' stronger attack faces Falkirk's compact defense
Home form slightly favors Falkirk despite overall quality gap
Moderate tempo hints at controlled, tactical play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.50 ✗ Lost

AI 73% Implied 67% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FAL 4-2-3-1 · RAN 3-4-3

FAL · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · RAN

27 Parkinson

📊 Statistics

FAL 2 – 5 RAN

55%

Possession (%)

45%

2.26

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.61

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Rangers won 5–2 away at Falkirk. At half-time it was 2–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.61 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.30 units (Brier 0.176).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.85	—	59%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS No	2.38	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.25	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	50%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.67	—	47%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.91	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.63	—	27%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.75	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.42	—	59%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.28	—	82%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	91%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	71%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Home Win	3.84	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.30u	−25% ROI