Match Hibernian vs Motherwell May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.36 — +9.5% better than the market.

Hibernian and Motherwell face off in a tight Premiership clash where defensive solidity could dominate. Despite Motherwell's slight quality edge, Hibernian's home momentum and better recent form suggest a compact, cautious game. Both teams show balanced attacking and defensive traits, hinting at a low-scoring encounter with limited clear-cut chances.

Hibernian's home edge offers a pressing advantage.
Motherwell's defense may contain Hibernian's attack effectively.
Recent form favors Hibernian's steadier point accumulation.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.36 ✓ Cashed

AI 81% Implied 74% +0.36u

+36%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HIB 3-4-1-2 · MOT 4-2-3-1

HIB · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · MOT

47 Elding

📊 Statistics

HIB 0 – 1 MOT

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.83

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.07

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Motherwell won 1–0 away at Hibernian. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.70 units (Brier 0.188).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.93	—	60%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	55%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Away Win	2.62	—	40%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Home Win	2.75	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.95	—	40%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.91	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.90	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	81%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	65%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	36%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	86%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.70u	−4% ROI