Match Slovácko vs Mlada Boleslav May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.44 — +8.3% better than the market.

Slovácko hosts Mlada Boleslav in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, boasting stronger offensive numbers and a higher overall rating. However, Slovácko’s home defensive solidity and recent home momentum could keep this tight. Both sides have shown resilience, with recent draws hinting at a compact tactical battle.

Slovácko’s defensive discipline may blunt Mlada Boleslav’s attacking threat.
Mlada Boleslav’s sharper offense suggests chances on the break.
Moderate pace expected, favoring a cautious, strategic duel.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed

AI 75% Implied 69% +0.44u

+44%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SLO 3-4-2-1 · MLA 4-2-3-1

SLO · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · MLA

16 Fiala

📊 Statistics

SLO 0 – 3 MLA

55%

Possession (%)

45%

0.93

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.51

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Mlada Boleslav won 3–0 away at Slovácko. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.51 to 0.93.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.65 units (Brier 0.188).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.38	—	51%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.16	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.76	—	60%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.43	—	36%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.00	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	—	46%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	75%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.44	—	36%	Cashed	+2.44	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.75	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.44	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	86%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	68%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.65u	−10% ROI