Match FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys May 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 6.50 — +14.0% better than the market.

FC Thun holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite mixed recent form. Their attacking threat faces a solid but slightly vulnerable Young Boys defense, suggesting chances for goals but controlled pace. Thun's home comfort and higher scoring potential contrast with Young Boys' steadier but less potent offense.

Home side's offensive edge against away defense
Young Boys' resilience but limited goal threat
Moderate tempo expected with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 6.50 ✗ Lost

AI 18% Implied 15% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

THU 4-2-2-2 · YOU 4-2-3-1

THU · 4-2-2-2 4-2-3-1 · YOU

74 Rastoder

📊 Statistics

THU 3 – 8 YOU

43%

Possession (%)

57%

1.81

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

5.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

BSC Young Boys won 8–3 away at FC Thun. At half-time it was 2–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 5.46 to 1.81. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 15, 11 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 8 from 5.46 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -1.62 units (Brier 0.277).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.05	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.80	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	1.98	—	41%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.80	—	45%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.43	—	22%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
BTTS No	3.00	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.88	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.50	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.40	—	62%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.55	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.11	—	82%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.36	—	62%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Away Win	3.30	—	22%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−1.62u	−11% ROI