Match Celtic vs Rangers May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.63 — +13.2% better than the market.

Celtic hold a slight home edge with a compact defensive setup that challenges Rangers' attacking efforts. Despite Rangers' higher overall strength, Celtic's recent home form and pressing intensity suggest a tight contest. The attacking battle is balanced, with both sides showing similar goal threat, hinting at a tactical stalemate.

Home momentum from strong recent results
Balanced offensive vs defensive matchup
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.63 ✗ Lost

AI 43% Implied 38% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CEL 4-2-3-1 · RAN 4-2-3-1

CEL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · RAN

38 Maeda

📊 Statistics

CEL 3 – 1 RAN

51%

Possession (%)

49%

1.04

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.96

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Celtic beat Rangers 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.04 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.18 units (Brier 0.210).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.63	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.39	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.60	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.25	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.20	—	36%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.38	—	33%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.62	—	36%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Away Win	3.00	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.05	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	57%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.57	—	54%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	60%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	93%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	—	77%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.18u	−25% ROI