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Home Greece Super League 1 AEK Athens FC — Panathinaikos

Predictions AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos May 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
Home · last 5 W D W D D
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
L D L L D Away · last 5
Referee Harm Osmers, Germany
Home Win · AEK
65%
Best 1.59
Draw
24%
Best 3.90
Away Win · PAN
12%
Best 6.50
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.96
book 3.25 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (66%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 11.5%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 11.1%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 79%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 11.5%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 35.3%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AEK – PAN @ 3.25
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →