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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Union St. Gilloise — KV Mechelen

Predictions Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen May 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Home · last 5 L W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 16:30
3:0
Full-time
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
W L D D L Away · last 5
Stade Joseph Marien · Brussels Referee Eric Lambrechts, Belgium
Home Win · GIL
74%
Best 1.30
Draw
19%
Best 5.89
Away Win · MEC
8%
Best 9.20
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.89
Fair odds
5.34
book 5.89 · +10.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 19% · EV +10.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (74%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 18.7%
Odds 5.89
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 7.6%
Odds 9.20
Show model details
Implied probability 10.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 34.2%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 78%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.7%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.4%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.6%
Odds 7.10
Show model details
Implied probability 14.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.52
Show model details
Implied probability 28.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
GIL – MEC @ 5.89
+10.3%
Edge
Forecast →