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Home Ukraine Ukraine Premier League Polessya — Shakhtar Donetsk

Predictions Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk October 18, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Ukraine   /   Ukraine Premier League Value pick inside
Polessya
Polessya
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 15:00
0:0
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
W W W W L Away · last 5
Tsentralnyi Stadion · Zhytomyr Referee Oleksandr Afanasiev, Ukraine
Home Win · POL
17%
Best 3.95
Draw
25%
Best 3.42
Away Win · SHA
59%
Best 1.88
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.60
Fair odds
3.16
book 3.60 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 32% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 16.8%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
Under 3.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 16.8%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 83.2%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
POL – SHA @ 3.60
+14.0%
Edge
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