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Home England Premier League Nottingham Forest — Leeds

Predictions Nottingham Forest vs Leeds November 9, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 14:00
3:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
The City Ground · Nottingham, Nottinghamshire Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Home Win · NOT
36%
Best 2.30
Draw
27%
Best 3.20
Away Win · LEE
38%
Best 3.30
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.17
book 3.50 · +10.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +10.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.5%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.48
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.1%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 3.66
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 53.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 35.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
NOT – LEE @ 3.50
+10.4%
Edge
Forecast →