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Home Spain La Liga Athletic Club — Celta Vigo

Predictions Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo May 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W W L D W Away · last 5
Referee I. Diaz
Home Win · BIL
36%
Best 2.32
Draw
28%
Best 3.29
Away Win · CEL
36%
Best 3.58
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.70
Fair odds
1.57
book 1.70 · +8.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 64% · EV +8.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (64%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 35.7%
Odds 3.72
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.23
Show model details
Implied probability 31%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 45%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.1%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.2%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.59
Show model details
Implied probability 38.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 36.2%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BIL – CEL @ 1.70
+8.5%
Edge
Forecast →