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Home Spain La Liga Girona — Real Sociedad

Predictions Girona vs Real Sociedad May 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Girona
Girona
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Thu 14 May · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi · Girona Referee M. Sesma
Home Win · GIR
43%
Best 1.96
Draw
24%
Best 3.96
Away Win · RSO
34%
Best 3.94
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 14.40
Fair odds
12.76
book 14.40 · +12.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 8% · EV +12.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (92%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.5%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 33.7%
Odds 3.94
Show model details
Implied probability 25.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28.9%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.8%
Odds 14.40
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40.5%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
GIR – RSO @ 14.40
+12.9%
Edge
Forecast →