Match Levante vs Osasuna May 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.75 — +12.1% better than the market.

Levante hosts Osasuna in a tight La Liga clash where defensive solidity could dominate. Levante's home edge is noticeable with a more compact block and better recent form, while Osasuna's stronger overall quality and defensive resilience suggest a cautious game. Expect a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances and a moderate tempo hinted by balanced goal odds.

Levante's home momentum and pressing edge
Osasuna's defensive discipline and quality gap
Likely under 2.5 goals with tight midfield control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.75 ✗ Lost

AI 30% Implied 27% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

LEV 3 – 2 OSA

67%

Possession (%)

33%

3.22

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.63

35

Total Shots

5

12

Shots on Target

3

15

Shots off Target

2

21

Shots Inside Box

2

15

Corner Kicks

1

Offsides

0

11

Fouls

13

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

2

Yellow Cards

0

2

Goalkeeper Saves

9

⏱ Match events

18 · 3 – 2

3'

⚽

J. Toljan

Own goal · 0–1

11'

⚽

A. Budimir

Assist · A. Bretones · 0–2

V. Garcia

Assist · P. Martinez · 1–2

⚽

35'

V. Garcia

Assist · O. Rey · 2–2

⚽

37'

V. Garcia

Yellow Card

▮

41'

45'

▮

S. Herrera

Red Card

Half-time · 2 – 2

R. Brugue ↓ · K. Tunde ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

45+2'

⇄

A. Fernandez ↓ · A. Oroz ↑

Substitution 1

62'

⇄

L. Torro ↓ · I. Munoz ↑

Substitution 2

62'

⇄

R. Garcia ↓ · A. Budimir ↑

Substitution 3

J. Morales ↓ · V. Garcia ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

M. Moreno

Yellow Card

▮

74'

A. Matturro ↓ · Dela ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

K. Etta Eyong ↓ · P. Martinez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

82'

⇄

I. Benito ↓ · R. Garcia ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

A. Osambela ↓ · R. Moro ↑

Substitution 5

T. Abed ↓ · M. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

K. Etta Eyong

Assist · A. Matturro · 3–2

⚽

90'

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Levante beat Osasuna 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.22 to 0.63. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 35 shots to 5, 12 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 15 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves.

On the scoresheet: J. Toljan (3'), A. Budimir (11'), V. Garcia (35'), V. Garcia (37'), K. Etta Eyong (90'). S. Herrera was sent off in the 45' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.55 units (Brier 0.267).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.15	1.96	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.93	1.80	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.01	2.05	45%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.08	2.04	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	1.78	50%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Home Win	2.65	2.53	30%	Cashed	+1.65	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.87	1.85	30%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Away Win	3.00	2.85	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.54	1.50	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	3.25	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.44	1.40	57%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	9.01	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	1.28	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	1.05	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	1.33	70%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Draw	3.30	3.25	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	3.50	24%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.55u	−9% ROI