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Home Spain La Liga Sevilla — Espanyol

Predictions Sevilla vs Espanyol May 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Sevilla
Sevilla
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sat 09 May · 14:15
2:1
Full-time
Espanyol
Espanyol
L L W W D Away · last 5
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla Referee J. Alberola
Home Win · SEV
47%
Best 2.09
Draw
27%
Best 3.39
Away Win · ESP
27%
Best 4.12
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.90
Fair odds
3.74
book 3.90 · +4.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 27% · EV +4.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (47%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.7%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.52
Show model details
Implied probability 28.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.8%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.2%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 26.7%
Odds 2.79
Show model details
Implied probability 35.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
SEV – ESP @ 3.90
+4.3%
Edge
Forecast →