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Home Spain La Liga Barcelona — Celta Vigo

Predictions Barcelona vs Celta Vigo April 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Wed 22 Apr · 19:30
1:0
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W W L D W Away · last 5
Camp Nou · Barcelona Referee José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
Home Win · BAR
79%
Best 1.25
Draw
15%
Best 6.90
Away Win · CEL
6%
Best 10.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.60
Fair odds
6.81
book 7.60 · +11.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +11.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (79%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 14.7%
Odds 7.60
Show model details
Implied probability 13.2%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 6.1%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97.3%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 90%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 10.1%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 2.7%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 6.1%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 20.8%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BAR – CEL @ 7.60
+11.6%
Edge
Forecast →