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Home World UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş — Marseille

Beşiktaş vs Marseille 4:1: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Thu 17 Sep · 19:00
4:1
Full-time
Marseille
Marseille
L Away · last 5
Referee A. Colombo
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 52% · book 1.91
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.64
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.38
Total goals
5
4 · 1
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.75 — +7.9% better than the market.

Beşiktaş arrives with strong home momentum, having won four of their last five matches. Their attacking rhythm could challenge Marseille’s defense, though the away side’s quality remains less clear. The market hints at a moderately open game with a decent chance of goals, supported by both teams likely pushing forward.

  • Beşiktaş’s recent form suggests confidence and sharpness at home.
  • Marseille’s unknown form adds an element of unpredictability.
  • The odds favor a lively match with goals on both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.75 ✗ Lost
AI 29% Implied 27% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

BES 41 MAR
54%
Possession (%)
46%
18
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
3
9
Shots off Target
9
12
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Beşiktaş beat Marseille 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 14, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.41 units (Brier 0.153).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.91 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.64 59% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.38 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 60% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS No 2.40 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.39 40% Cashed +1.39 Cashed
Home Win 1.95 48% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.78 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.75 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.57 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 71% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.49 48% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Draw 4.10 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.17 81% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.41u −26% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
BES – MAR @ 3.75
+7.9%
Edge
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