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Home World UEFA Europa League Juventus — NEC Nijmegen

Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen 5:0: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Juventus
Juventus
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Thu 17 Sep · 19:00
5:0
Full-time
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
L Away · last 5
Referee O. Derevinskyi
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 50% · book 1.95
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 1.95
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 56% · book 1.73
Total goals
5
5 · 0
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.14 — +7.3% better than the market.

Juventus enter this Europa League clash with a clear home advantage, expected to control the tempo and press high. Despite limited recent form data, their superior quality and home momentum suggest they will dominate possession and create chances. NEC Nijmegen may adopt a compact block, aiming to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, but Juventus' attacking edge and set-piece threat could prove decisive.

  • Home side's pressing edge likely to unsettle visitors
  • NEC's defensive resilience tested by Juventus' creativity
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured build-up

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 6.14 ✗ Lost
AI 17% Implied 16% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

JUV 50 NIJ
48%
Possession (%)
52%
11
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
7
9
Shots Inside Box
5
0
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
19
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Juventus beat NEC Nijmegen 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.72 units (Brier 0.110).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.95 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 50% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.73 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.20 44% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.62 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 12.30 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.00 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.14 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 7.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.50 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.06 85% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Home Win 1.27 67% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.14 67% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 95% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 18.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.14 83% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.50 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.72u −34% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
JUV – NIJ @ 6.14
+7.3%
Edge
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