Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.17 — +4.7% better than the market.

This UEFA Europa League clash lacks detailed form and strength data, making it a tactical guessing game. Sunderland's home advantage could provide a slight edge, but AZ Alkmaar's away resilience and quality remain uncertain. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a leaning towards goals, hinting at a lively tempo and potential for both sides to find the net.

Home momentum may be limited without recent form data.
AZ's away strategy could focus on compact defense and counterattacks.
Market odds imply a balanced contest with goal-scoring opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.17 ✗ Lost

AI 48% Implied 46% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · ALK 4-2-3-1

SUN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ALK

18 Isidor

Statistics

SUN 1 – 0 ALK

45%

Possession (%)

55%

2.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sunderland beat AZ Alkmaar 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.90 to 1.49. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 11, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.56 units (Brier 0.214).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.17	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.76	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.16	—	45%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	44%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.74	—	52%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Away Win	4.74	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	66%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	75%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.70	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.08	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	22%	Cashed	+3.33	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.34	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.32	—	52%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.56u	−9% ROI

Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar 1:0: Match Review & Stats

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.17 — +4.7% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled