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Home World UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz — Rennes

Sturm Graz vs Rennes 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Wed 16 Sep · 19:00
0:0
Full-time
Rennes
Rennes
D Away · last 5
Referee M. Lukjancukas
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 56% · book 1.83
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.70
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.25
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.77 – 1.82
Δ −1.05
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.52 — +9.3% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this UEFA Europa League clash leans on tactical cues and market signals. Rennes appear to hold a slight edge, suggested by odds favoring their double chance and away win options. Expect a moderately paced game with a decent chance both teams find the net, as indicated by the BTTS odds. Home momentum is uncertain, but Sturm Graz may rely on set-piece opportunities and compact defending to counter Rennes' pressing style.

  • Rennes favored in double chance markets
  • BTTS likely, suggesting attacking intent
  • Moderate tempo expected from odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.52 ✗ Lost
AI 31% Implied 28% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

STU 00 REN
38%
Possession (%)
62%
0.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.82
11
Total Shots
23
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
11
7
Shots Inside Box
17
5
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
4
12
Fouls
6
66%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Sturm Graz and Rennes drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.82 to 0.77. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 11, 5 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +15.65 units (Brier 0.357).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.83 56% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.70 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.25 43% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 41% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.62 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.04 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.61 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.52 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.33 69% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.54 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 94% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 6% Cashed +14.00 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.86 25% Cashed +2.86 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 21% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +15.65u +92% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
STU – REN @ 3.52
+9.3%
Edge
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