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Home World UEFA Europa League Hapoel Beer Sheva — Dinamo Zagreb

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Wed 16 Sep · 19:00
0:0
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
D Away · last 5
Referee J. Brooks
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 55% · book 1.87
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.67
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.31
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.82 – 0.31
Δ +0.51
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.68 — +11.2% better than the market.

With limited form and strength data, this UEFA Europa League clash leans on tactical intuition and market signals. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight edge to Dinamo Zagreb, who may exploit their away resilience against Hapoel Beer Sheva's home momentum. Expect a balanced tempo with chances for both sides, as indicated by the decent probability for goals and BTTS.

  • Dinamo's away discipline could counter Hapoel's pressing edge
  • Market hints at a lively match with over 2.5 goals likely
  • Both teams may rely on set-piece threats to break deadlocks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.68 ✗ Lost
AI 30% Implied 27% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

HAP 00 ZAG
66%
Possession (%)
34%
0.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.31
15
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
1
4
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
5
6
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
13
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Dinamo Zagreb drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.82 to 0.31. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 7, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +16.23 units (Brier 0.360).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.87 55% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.67 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.31 42% Cashed +1.31 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.60 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 40% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.62 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.00 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.75 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.68 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.31 70% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.50 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.50 6% Cashed +14.50 Cashed
Draw 3.86 25% Cashed +2.86 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 21% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +16.23u +95% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
HAP – ZAG @ 3.68
+11.2%
Edge
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