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Home World UEFA Europa League Anderlecht — Lyon

Anderlecht vs Lyon 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Wed 16 Sep · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
W Away · last 5
Referee R. De Burgos
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 56% · book 1.83
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.68
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.29
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.43 – 1.27
Δ +0.16
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.58 — +10.1% better than the market.

Anderlecht arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run that suggests confidence and sharpness. Despite limited data on Lyon, the home side's form edge and the moderate odds for goals hint at an open contest with chances for both teams. Expect Anderlecht's attacking intent to challenge Lyon's defense, while the visitors may rely on counterattacks to exploit any gaps.

  • Anderlecht's winning streak fuels home advantage
  • Potential for an open game with goal-scoring opportunities
  • Lyon's tactical resilience could test Anderlecht's pressing

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.58 ✗ Lost
AI 31% Implied 28% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

AND 12 LYO
58%
Possession (%)
42%
1.43
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.27
14
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
10
5
Shots off Target
1
11
Shots Inside Box
11
6
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
5
14
Fouls
12
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
0
Yellow Cards
2
8
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Lyon won 2–1 away at Anderlecht. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.12 units (Brier 0.135).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.83 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.68 58% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.29 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.45 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.62 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.05 44% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.64 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.58 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 61% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.32 69% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.53 44% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.50 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 79% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.79 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.12u −30% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
AND – LYO @ 3.58
+10.1%
Edge
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