Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia 2:1

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Away 0 at 6.25 — +10.0% better than the market.

Olympiakos Piraeus enters this Europa League clash with a clear home advantage, likely to leverage their familiar surroundings and tactical discipline. Despite limited recent form data, Jagiellonia’s positive momentum with multiple wins suggests they can challenge, especially if they exploit set-piece opportunities and counterattack swiftly.

Home side’s compact block and pressing edge could limit away chances
Jagiellonia’s recent form hints at growing confidence
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over frantic tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · AH Away 0

AH Away 0 @ 6.25 ✗ Lost

AI 18% Implied 16% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

OLY 4-2-3-1 · JAG 4-3-3

OLY · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · JAG

34 González

Statistics

OLY 2 – 1 JAG

58%

Possession (%)

42%

2.53

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.52

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Olympiakos Piraeus beat Jagiellonia 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.53 to 0.52. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 4, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 13 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.04 units (Brier 0.104).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	51%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	—	58%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.33	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.62	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.10	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	9.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.40	—	62%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
AH Away 0	6.25	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	82%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.12	—	62%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Draw	4.93	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	16.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	79%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.04u	−36% ROI

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia 2:1: Match Review & Stats

AI picks AH Away 0 at 6.25 — +10.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled