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Home World UEFA Europa League Bayer Leverkusen — Celje

Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Wed 16 Sep · 19:00
2:0
Full-time
Celje
Celje
L Away · last 5
Referee J. Vergoote
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.80
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.15
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 56% · book 1.73
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.93 – 0.90
Δ +1.03
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen enters this UEFA Europa League clash as clear favorites, backed by strong home momentum and a likely tactical edge. Despite limited recent form data, the home side's superior quality and attacking potential suggest they will control the pace, pushing for multiple goals. Celje may struggle to contain Leverkusen's pressing and set-piece threat, but could exploit counterattacks if given space.

  • Home advantage with attacking pressure
  • Leverkusen's compact defensive block
  • Potential for a high-scoring game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Statistics

BAY 20 CEL
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.93
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.90
17
Total Shots
5
8
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
1
11
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
10
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match recap

Bayer Leverkusen beat Celje 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.93 to 0.90. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 5, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.46 units (Brier 0.180).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.80 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 46% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.73 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 2.24 44% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
Away Win 15.50 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 12.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 5.10 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.95 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.04 86% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Home Win 1.19 71% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.04 71% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.28 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.80 25% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.08 88% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 1.5 8.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −2.46u −16% ROI