Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha 1:4 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.30 — +9.4% better than the market.

Ararat-Armenia hosts Sparta Praha in a UEFA Europa League clash where limited recent form data suggests a cautious approach. The home side shows signs of resilience with a recent unbeaten run, while Sparta Praha's quality and experience in European competitions likely give them a tactical edge. Expect a balanced game with moderate tempo, leaning towards a competitive encounter where set-pieces and defensive organization could be decisive.

Home momentum from recent results
Away side's European experience
Potentially tight, tactical battle with few clear chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 2.30 ✗ Lost

AI 48% Implied 43% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ARA 4-3-3 · SPA 4-3-3

ARA · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · SPA

3 Julio 47 Malis

19 Muradyan

70 Dias

11 Banjaqui

Statistics

ARA 1 – 4 SPA

42%

Possession (%)

58%

1.93

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.53

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Praha won 4–1 away at Ararat-Armenia. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.53 to 1.93. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 13, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 13 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.48 units (Brier 0.155).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	2.30	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.71	—	57%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.24	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	56%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	34%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Away Win	1.66	—	52%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Home Win	5.24	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.18	—	76%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.90	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.20	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	78%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.70	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.26	—	52%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.48u	−26% ROI

Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha 1:4: Match Review & Stats

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.30 — +9.4% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled