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Home World UEFA Europa League Omonia Nicosia — Celta Vigo

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Wed 16 Sep · 16:45
1:0
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
L Away · last 5
Referee B. Berke
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 54% · book 1.91
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.80
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.11
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.32 – 1.17
Δ −0.85
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.91 — +3.2% better than the market.

With limited data on both sides, this UEFA Europa League clash hints at a cautious encounter. Home side shows some recent momentum, while Celta Vigo’s form is unclear, suggesting a tactical battle. The odds lean slightly towards a tight, under 2.5 goals game, indicating a measured pace with defensive discipline likely to prevail.

  • Home's recent resilience could provide a pressing edge.
  • Celta's unknown form adds uncertainty to attacking threat.
  • Market signals favor a compact, low-scoring match.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.91 ✓ Cashed
AI 54% Implied 52% +0.91u
+91%
ROI on stake

Statistics

OMO 10 CEL
46%
Possession (%)
54%
0.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.17
11
Total Shots
19
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
5
3
Shots Inside Box
12
3
Corner Kicks
10
1
Offsides
2
4
Fouls
15
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
92%
0
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Omonia Nicosia beat Celta Vigo 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.17 to 0.32. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 11, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 3.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.69 units (Brier 0.259).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.91 54% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.80 54% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.11 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 50% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Away Win 1.96 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.28 28% Cashed +3.28 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.25 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.02 28% Cashed +2.02 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.43 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 89% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.40 28% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 73% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.69u +10% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
OMO – CEL @ 1.91
+3.2%
Edge
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