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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Falkirk — Heart Of Midlothian

Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Falkirk
Falkirk
Home · last 5 L L D W D
Kick-off
Tue 15 Sep · 18:45
2:1
Full-time
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
W W W L D Away · last 5
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.25 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.10 ✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 54% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.25 — +12.6% better than the market.

Heart Of Midlothian arrives with clear momentum, boasting a strong recent run contrasting Falkirk's struggles. The visitors' attacking edge and better form suggest they will control the game's rhythm, while Falkirk's defense may be tested repeatedly. Expect a tactical battle where Hearts' pressing and sharper transitions could unlock chances against a home side still seeking stability.

  • Hearts' superior recent form and scoring potential
  • Falkirk's defensive vulnerabilities under pressure
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.25 ✗ Lost
AI 50% Implied 44% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

FAL 2 – 1 HEA
42%
Possession (%)
58%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Falkirk beat Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.83 units (Brier 0.244).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.25 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.80 — 54% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Away Win 2.05 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.76 — 48% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 50% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 — 72% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.30 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.50 — 29% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −0.83u −8% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
FAL – HEA @ 2.25
+12.6%
Edge
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