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Home Scotland Premiership Motherwell — Aberdeen

Motherwell vs Aberdeen 0:4: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Motherwell
Motherwell
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Tue 15 Sep · 18:45
0:4
Full-time
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
L L D W D Away · last 5
Fir Park · Motherwell
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.97
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.11
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 58% · book 1.75
Total goals
4
0 · 4
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.97 — +8.5% better than the market.

Motherwell hosts Aberdeen in a tightly contested Premiership clash at Fir Park. Recent form shows Aberdeen with a slight edge, carrying momentum from a win while Motherwell has drawn and won recently. The match hints at a balanced pace with moderate goal expectations, supported by historical low-scoring encounters. Motherwell’s home resilience and Aberdeen’s sharper recent attack create a tactical chess match likely favoring cautious play.

  • Home side’s compact defense may limit chances
  • Aberdeen’s pressing edge could unlock tight spaces
  • Moderate tempo suggests fewer high-risk plays

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.97 ✗ Lost
AI 55% Implied 51% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

MOT 04 ABE
69%
Possession (%)
31%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
4
5
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Aberdeen won 4–0 away at Motherwell. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +1.39 units (Brier 0.332).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.97 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.11 49% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.75 58% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Home Win 2.30 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.91 45% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.40 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.42 31% Cashed +2.42 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 24% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.36 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.42 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L +1.39u +13% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MOT – ABE @ 1.97
+8.5%
Edge
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